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While the U.S. may slowly be on the path to lowering inflation (and therefore interest rates), Europe has thoroughly trounced America, putting it on the path to lower rates by this summer.

This Region Has the U.S. Beat When it Comes to Fighting Inflation

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The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage is currently around 7.5%, the highest level since mid-November and up from around 6% in February. Higher rates caused home sales to stall last year but rebounded before rising rates halted the surge. Affordability is weakening as rates increase while housing supply remains very low, fueling competition. Despite higher rates, mortgage applications to purchase homes rose 5% last week compared to the prior week. Economists expect rates to remain elevated given inflation and Fed policy, dampening sales going forward.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Reach Highest Level Since November at 7.5%

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IMF Warns of Broad Global Impact, Due to Conflict in the Middle East.<br/>According to 'The Guardian,' the International Monetary <br/>Fund recently highlighted the risks of escalating <br/>conflict in the Middle East with two new reports. .<br/>The reports, titled World Economic Outlook (WEO) and the Global Financial Stability Review (GFSR), comes amid heightened fears of a war between Iran and Israel.<br/>The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy.<br/>The IMF reports that the escalating conflict comes at a time when financial markets have remained optimistic of a soft landing for the global economy.<br/>That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war.<br/>That soft landing, which would include lowering inflation, receding interest rates and would avoid a potential recession, could be threatened by the outbreak of war.<br/>'The Guardian' reports that previous Middle East conflicts have resulted in significantly higher oil prices. .<br/>Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s economic <br/>counsellor, said the organization was evaluating the <br/>potential for another commodity shock from the conflict.<br/>The increased inflation that would <br/>come from higher energy prices would <br/>trigger a response from central banks that <br/>would tighten interest rates in order to <br/>secure inflation coming back to target, <br/>and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.<br/>The increased inflation that would <br/>come from higher energy prices would <br/>trigger a response from central banks that <br/>would tighten interest rates in order to <br/>secure inflation coming back to target, <br/>and that would weigh down on activity, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.<br/>It would do so in a context in which, <br/>in some countries, activity and growth <br/>is already fairly weak, so that might <br/>also have a strong effect there, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF economic counsellor, via 'The Guardian'.<br/>According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase <br/>in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs, <br/>could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation.<br/>According to Gourinchas, the impact of a 15% increase <br/>in the price of oil, combined with higher shipping costs, <br/>could result in a 0.7% increase in global inflation.<br/>Gourinchas also warned that such <br/>an increase would also bring down <br/>business confidence and global investment.

IMF Warns of Broad Global Impact Due to Conflict in the Middle East

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Strong U.S retail sales data from the Commerce Department also hindered oil prices, Yawger added, by increasing the likelihood that interest rates in the world's biggest economy would remain higher for longer and reduce demand for oil.<br/>

Oil prices slip after Iran attack, US economic data

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